SYPR Choices

Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region (SYPR) Project

SYPR Publications






  1. Turner, B. L.,II, S. Cortina Villar, D. Foster, J. Geoghegan, E. Keys, P. Klepeis, D. Lawrence, P. Macario Mendoza, S. M. Manson, Y. Ogneva-Himmelberger, A. B. Plotkin, D. Pérez Salicrup, R. Roy Chowdhury, B. Savitsky, L. Schneider, B. Schmook, and C. Vance. 2001. Deforestation in the southern Yucatan peninsular region: An integrative approach. Forest Ecology and Management 154:343-370 [pdf]
  2. Turner, B. L.,II, and J. Geoghegan. 2003. Land-Cover and Land-Use Change (LCLUC) in the Southern Yucatan Peninsular Region (SYPR): an integrated approach. In People and the Environment: Approaches for Linking Household and Community Surveys to Remote Sensing and GIS, ed. J. Fox, R. R. Rindfuss, S. J. Walsh and V. Mishra, 31-60. Boston, Massachusetts: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
  3. Turner, B. L.,II, P. A. Matson, J. J. McCarthy, R. W. Corell, L. Christensen, N. Eckley, G. K. Hovelsrud-Broda, J. X. Kasperson, R. E. Kasperson, A. Luers, M. L. Martello, S. Mathiesen, R. Naylor, C. Polsky, A. Pulsipher, A. Schiller, H. Selin, and N. Tyler. 2003. Illustrating the coupled human–environment system for vulnerability analysis: three case studies. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 100:8080-8085 [pdf]
  4. Turner, B. L.,II, D. Foster, and J. Geoghegan. 2004. Three frontiers of the southern Yucatan peninsular region and SYPR project. In Integrated Land-Change Science and Tropical Deforestation in the Southern Yucatan: Final Frontiers, ed. B. L. Turner II, D. Foster and J. Geoghegan, 1-22. Oxford, United Kingdom: Clarendon Press.
  5. Sader, S. A., R. Roy Chowdhury, L. C. Schneider, and B. L. Turner II. 2004. Forest change and human driving forces in central america. In Land Change Science: Observing, Monitoring, and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth’s Surface, ed. G. Gutman, A. Janetos, C. Justice, E. Moran, J. Mustard, R. Rindfuss, D. Skole and B. L. Turner II, 57-76. Dordrecht, NL: Kluwer.
  6. B. L. Turner II. 2008. The Southern Yucatán Peninsular Region (SYPR) Project: Deforestation and land change in a seasonal tropical forest and economic frontier. Newsletter of the Global Land Project, No.3 (Jan.), pp. 8-10. (International Project Office, Copenhagen)[pdf]
  7. B. L. Turner II. 2009. Sustainability and forest transitions in the southern Yucatán: The land architecture approach.  Land Use Policy (forthcoming). [doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.03.006].


  1. Geoghegan, J.,  L. J. Pritchard, Y. Ogneva-Himmelberger, R. Roy Chowdhury, S. Sanderson, and B. L. Turner II. 1998. "Socializing the pixel" and "pixelizing the social" in land-use/cover change. In People and Pixels, ed. D. Liverman, E. F. Moran, R. R. Rindfuss and P. C. Stern, 51-69. Washington, D.C.: National Research Council.
  2. Geoghegan, J., S. Cortina Villar, P. Klepeis, P. Macario Mendoza, Y. Ogneva-Himmelberger, R. R. Chowdhury, B. L. Turner II, and C. Vance. 2001. Modeling tropical deforestation in the southern Yucatan peninsular region: comparing survey and satellite data. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 85:25-46 [pdf]
  3. Parker, D. C., T. Berger, S. M. Manson, T. Berger, and S. M. Manson. 2002. Agent-Based Models of Land-Use and Land-Cover Change: Report and Review of an International Workshop. Bloomington, Indiana: LUCC International Project Office [pdf]
  4. C. Vance and J. Geoghegan. 2002. Temporal and spatial modeling of tropical deforestation: a survival analysis linking satellite and household survey data. Agricultural Economics 27:317-332 [pdf]
  5. Parker, D. C., S. M. Manson, M. Janssen, M. J. Hoffmann, and P. J. Deadman. 2003. Multi-agent systems for the simulation of land use and land cover change: a review. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 93:316-340 [pdf]
  6. Vance, C., and J. Geoghegan. 2004. Modeling the determinants of semi-subsitent and commercial land uses in an agricultural frontier of Southern Mexico: a switching regression approach. International Regional Science Review 27, 3:326-347. [pdf]
  7. Geoghegan, Jacqueline, Laura Schneider, and Colin Vance. 2004. Temporal dynamics and spatial scales: Modeling deforestation in the southern Yucatan peninsular region. GeoJournal 61:353-363 [pdf]
  8. Brown, D. G., R. Walker, S. Manson, and K. Seto. 2004. Modeling land use and land cover change. In Land Change Science: Observing, Monitoring, and Understanding Trajectories of Change on the Earth's Surface, ed. G. Gutman, A. Janetos, C. Justice, E. Moran, J. Mustard, R. Rindfuss, D. Skole and B. L. Turner II, 395-409. Dordrecht, Netherlands: Kluwer Academic Publishers. [pdf]
  9. Manson, S.M. 2005. Agent-based modeling and genetic programming for modeling land change in the Southern Yucatan Peninsular Region of Mexico. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 111:47-62 [pdf]
  10. Vance, C., and R. Iovanna. 2006. Analyzing spatial hierarchies in remotely sensed data: insights from a multilevel model of tropical deforestation. Land Use Policy 23:226-236 [pdf]
  11. Manson, S. M. 2006. Land use in the Southern Yucatan Peninsular Region of Mexico: scenarios of population and institutional change. Computers, Environment, and Urban Systems 30:230-253 [pdf]
  12. Roy Chowdhury, R. 2006. Landscape change in the Calakmul Biosphere Reserve, Mexico: modeling the driving forces of smallholder deforestation in land parcels. Applied Geography 26:129-152 [pdf]
  13. Roy Chowdhury, R. 2006. Driving forces of tropical deforestation: the role of remote sensing and spatial models. Singapore Journal of Tropical Geography 27:82-101 [pdf]
  14. Manson, S. M. 2006. Bounded rationality in agent-based models: experiments with evolutionary programs. International Journal of Geographic Information Science 20:991-1012 [pdf]
  15. Schneider, L. C., and J. Geoghegan. 2006. Land abandonment in an agricultural frontier after bracken fern invasion: linking satellite, ecological and household survey data. Agricultural Resources Economic Review 11:1-11 [pdf]
  16. Manson, S. M. 2007.  Challenges in evaluating models of geographic complexity. Environment and Planning B 32(2): 245-260. [pdf]
  17. Manson, S. M. 2007. Does scale exist? An epistemological scale continuum for complex human-environment systems.  Geoforum (in press). [pdf]
  18.  Parker, D. C., D. G. Brown, J. G. Polhill, P. J. Deadman and S. M. Manson (2007). Illustrating a new 'conceptual design pattern' for agent-based models of land use via five case studies—the MR POTATOHEAD framework. In Agent-Based Modelling in Natural Resource Management. A. L. Paredes and C. H. Iglesias (eds). Upper Saddle River, New Jersey: Pearson Education, pp. 33-61.
  19. Manson, S. and T. Evans. 2007. Agent-based modeling of deforestation in southern Yucatáb, Mexico, and reforestation in the midwest United States. Proceedings, National Academy of Science USA  104 (52): 20678-20679.
  20. Messina, J. P., T. P. Evans, S. M. Manson, A. M. Shortridge, P. J. Deadman, and P. H. Verburg. 2008. Complex systems models and the management of error and uncertainty. Journal of Land Use Science, 3 (1): 11-25.
  21. Parker, D. C., B. Entwisle, R. R. Rindfuss, L. K. VanWey, S. M. Manson, E. Moran,  L. An, P. Deadman, T. Evans, M. Linderman, S. M. Mussavi Rizi, and G. Malanson. 2008). Case studies, cross-site comparisons, and the challenge of generalization: comparing agent-based models of land-use change in frontier regions. Journal of Land use Science 3 (1): 41-72.


  1. Pérez-Salicrup D. 2001. Forest Types in the Southern Yucatán Peninsula: Effect of Long- and Short-Term Land Use on Regional Diversity. In K. N. Ganeshaiah, R. Shaanker, and K. S. Bawa, eds. Tropical Ecosystems: Structure, Diversity and Human Welfare. Proceedings of the International Conference on Tropical Ecosystems. New Delhi, Oxford-IBH, 142., 63-80.
  2. K. Vitkay and D. Pérez-Salicrup. 2001. Effect of Sabal mexicana palms on Pteridium aquilinum Invaded Fields in the Southern Yucatan. In M. J. Wade, ed. Evolution 2000. Bloomington, CD on Indiana University Conferences.
  3. D. Pérez-Salicrup and D. R. Foster. 2001. Forest Types and Forest Succession in Southern Yucatan, Mexico. In M. J. Wade, ed. Evolution 2000. Bloomington, CD on Indiana University Conferences.
  4. Lawrence, D., and D. R. Foster. 2002. Changes in forest biomass, litter dynamics and soils following shifting cultivation in southern Mexico: an overview. Interciencia 27:400-408 [pdf]
  5. Xuluc-Tolosa, F. J., H. F. M. Vester, N. Ramirez-Marcial, J. Castellanos-Albores, and D. Lawrence. 2003. Leaf litter decomposition of tree species in three successional phases of tropical dry secondary forest. Forest Ecology and Management 174:401-412 [pdf].
  6. Read, L., D. Lawrence, and D. R. Foster. 2003. Recovery of biomass following shifting cultivation in dry tropical forests of the Yucatan. Ecological Applications 13:85–97 [pdf]
  7. Read, L., and D. Lawrence. 2003. Litter nutrient dynamics during succession in dry tropical forests of the Yucatan: regional and seasonal effects. Ecosystems 6:747-761 [doc]
  8. Vester, H. F. M., and S. Calmé. 2003. Los ecosistemas terrestres de la península de Yucatan: estado actual, de los paisajes, vegetacion, flora y fauna. In Naturaleza y Sociedad en el Area Maya, Pasado, Presente y Futuro, ed. G. Colunga P. and A. Larqué Saavedra, 159-173. Merida, Mexico: Academia Mexicana de la Ciencia (AMC) and Centro de Investigaciones Científicas de Yucatan (CICY)[pdf]
  9. Lawrence, D., H. F. M. Vester, D. Pérez-Salicrup, J. R. Eastman, B. L. Turner II, and J. Geoghegan. 2004. Integrated analysis of ecosystem interactions with land-use change: the Southern Yucatan Peninsular Region. In Ecosystems and Land Use Change, ed. R. DeFries, G. Asner and R. Houghton, 277-292. American Geophysical Union [pdf]
  10. Schneider, L. 2004. Bracken fern invasion in southern Yucatan: a case for land-change science. Geographical Review 94:229-241 [pdf].
  11.  Lawrence, D. 2005. Regional-scale variation in litter production and seasonality in the tropical dry forests of southern Mexico. Biotropica 37:561-570 [pdf]
  12. Read, L. and D. Lawrence.2005. Interactions between water availability and nutrient cycling in dry tropical forests. In Eds, A. Porporato and P. D’Odorico, eds. Ecohydrology of Arid and Semiarid Ecosystems. Springer Verlag., pp. 217-232.
  13. Schneider, L. C. 2006.  Invasive species and land-use: The effect of land management practices on bracken fern invasion in the region of Calakmul, Mexico. Journal of Latin American Geography 5(2): 91-107.[pdf]
  14. Eaton, J. and D. Lawrence. 2006.  Woody debris stocks and fluxes during succession in a dry tropical forest.  Forest Ecology and Management 232: 46-55. [pdf]
  15. Vester, H. F. M., Lawrence, D., Eastman, J. R., Turner, B. L. II, Calme, S., Dickson, R., Pozo, C., Sangermano, F. nd. Land Change in the Southern Yucatán and Calakmul Biosphere Reserve: Implications for Habitat and Biodiversity. Ecological Applications (forthcoming).[pdf]
  16. Diekmann, L. O., D. Lawrence, and G. S. Okin. 2007.  Changes in the spatial variation of soil properties following shifting cultivation in a Mexican dry forest. Biogeochemistry 84: 99-113.[pdf]
  17. González Abraham, A.,  B. Schmook, and S. Calmé. 2007. Distribucíon espacio-temporal del lad actividades extractivas en los bosques del ejido Caoba, Quintana Roo. Investigaciones Geográficas, Boletín del Instituto de Geografía, UNAM. Núm. 62: 79-86.
  18. Lawrence, D., P. D’Odorico, L. Diekmann, M. DeLonge, R. Das, and J. Eaton.  Ecological feedbacks following deforestation create the potential for a castrophic ecosystem shift in tropical dry forest.  Proceedings, National Academy of Science USA 104: 20696-20701 [pdf].
  19. DeLonge, M., P. D’Odorico, and D. Lawrence. 2008. Feedbacks between phosphorus deposition and canopy cover: the emergence of multiple stable states in dry tropical forests. Global Change Biology 14: 154-160. [pdf]
  20. Schneider, L. nd. Plant Invasions in an Agricultural Frontier: Linking Satellite, Ecological and Household Survey Data. In: Land Change Science in the Tropics: Changing Agricultural Landscapes, Andrew Millington and Wendy Jepson eds.. Kluwer publishers.
  21. Weterings, M.J.L., S.M. Weterings-Schonck, H.F.M. Vester, S. Calmé. 2008.  Senescence of Manilkara zapota trees and implications for large frugivorous birds in the Southern Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. Forest Ecology and Management. 256:1604-1611.
  22. Tun Dzul, F., Vester, H.F.M., Durán García, R, Schmook, B. 2008. Estructura arbórea y variabilidad temporal del NDVI en los bajos inundables. Polibotánica 25: 69-90
  23. Lawrence, D.,K. Tully,C. Radel, B. Scmook, and L. Schneider.Untangling a global decline in tropical forest resilience: constraints on the sustainability of shifting cultivation. Biotropica
  24. Das, R., Lawrence, D., D’Odorico, P., and M. DeLonge. Land use change impacts on atmospheric P inputs to a tropical dry forest: Implications for theories of ecosystem state shifts. Journal of Geophysical Research—Biogeosciences
  25. Eaton, J. M. and D. Lawrence 2008. Effects of land-use history on the carbon budget of secondary forests in the Yucatan. Forest Ecology and Management. doi:10.1016/j.foreco.2008.10.019 [pdf]
  26. Schmook, B., R. Dickson, F. Sangermano, J. Vadjunec, Eastman, R.J., and J. Rogan 2009. A Step-Wise Land Cover Classification of the Tropical Forests of the Southern Yucatán, Mexico. International Journal of Remote Sensing (forthcoming) [pdf] (use with perimision)


  1. Klepeis, P., and B. L. Turner II. 2001. Integrated land history and global change science: the example of the Southern Yucatan Peninsular Region project. Land Use Policy 18:27-39 [pdf]
  2. Turner II, B. L., P. Klepeis, and L. Schneider. 2002. Three millennia in the southern Yucatan peninsular region: implications for occupancy, use, and 'carrying capacity'. In The Lowland Maya Area: Three Millennia at the Human-Wildland Interface, ed. A. Gómez-Pompa, M. Allen, S. Fedick and J. Jimenez-Osornio, 361-387. New York: Haworth Press [Analog].
  3. Klepeis, P., and C. Vance. 2003. Neoliberal policy and deforestation in southeastern Mexico: an assessment of the PROCAMPO Program. Economic Geography 79:221-240 [pdf]
  4. Klepeis, P. 2003. Development policies and tropical deforestation in the southern Yucatan peninsula: centralized and decentralized approaches. Land Degradation & Development 14:541-561 [pdf]
  5. Keys, E. 2004. Commercial Agriculture as Creative Destruction or Destructive Creation: A Case Study of Chili Cultivation and Plant-Pest Disease in the Southern Yucatán Region. Land Degradation and Development 15: 397-409. [pdf]
  6. Klepeis, P. 2005. From Farmers to Satellites: Understanding Tropical Deforestation through Perspectives in Geography. In Tropical Deforestation: Exploring Environmental Challenges, A Multi-Disciplinary Approach. S. L. Spray and M. Moran, eds. Lanham: Rowan & Littlefield, pp. 77-92.
  7. Bray, D.B. and P. Klepeis. 2005.  Deforestation, Forest Transitions, and Institutions for Sustainability in Southeastern Mexico, 1900-2000.  Environment and History 11: 195-223. [pdf]
  8. Keys, E. 2005. Exploring market based development: market intermediaries and farmers in Calakmul, Mexico. Geographical Review 95:24-46 . [pdf]
  9. Radel, Claudia. 2005. Women's Community-Based Organizations, Conservation Projects, and Effective Land Control in Southern Mexico. Journal of Latin American Geography 4 (2): 9-36.[pdf]
  10. Fuller, D.O and R. Roy Chowdhury. Monitoring and modelling tropical deforestation: Introduction to the special issue.2006 Singapore Journal of Tropical Geography 27: 1-3. [pdf]
  11. Roy Chowdhury, R., and B. L. Turner II. 2006. Reconciling agency and structure in empirical analysis: smallholder land use in the Southern Yucatan, Mexico. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 96:302-322 [pdf].
  12. Keys, E. and R. Roy Chowdhury. 2006. Cash Crops, Smallholder Decision Making and Institutional Interactions in a Closing Frontier, Calakmul, Campeche, Mexico. Journal of Latin American Geography 5(2): 75-90.[pdf]
  13. Schneider L.C. 2006. Invasive Species and Land-use: The Effect of Land Management Practices on Bracken Fern Invasion in the Region of Calakmul, Mexico. Journal of Latin America Geography 5(2): 91-107.
  14. Alayón Gamboa, J. A. y F. D. Gurri. 2007. Flujo y balance energético en los agroecosistemas de campesinos tradicionales y convencionales del sur de Calakmul, Campeche, México. en: Gonzalez Jácome A, Del Amo R.S. y Gurri FD. (Eds.); Los nuevos caminos de la agricultura: Procesos de conversión y perspectivas Universidad Iberoamerican; Plaza y Valdez SA de CV;  México D.F. pp. 243-260.
  15. Vallejo Nieto, M.I. y Gurri, F. D. nd.  Vulnerabilidad en campesinos tradicionales y convencionales de Calakmul, Campeche, méxico;  Secuelas del Huracán “Isidoro.”  Estudios de Antropología Biológica13 (forthcoming).
  16. Keys, E. nd. Market Integration and Market Realities on the Mexican Frontier: The Case of Calakmul, Campeche, Mexico, IN W. Jepson and A.Millington, eds. Beyond the primary transition: Land use and land cover change in agricultural areas (forthcoming).
  17. Roy Chowdhury, R. 2007. Household land management and biodiversity: Secondary succession in a forest-agriculture mosaic, Yucatán, Mexico. Ecology and Society (in press).
  18. González Abraham, A.,  B. Schmook, and S. Calmé. 2007. Distribución espacio-temporal del las actividades extractivas en los bosques del ejido Caoba, Quintana Roo. Investigaciones Geográficas, Boletín del Instituto de Geografía, UNAM. Núm. 62: 69-86.
  19. Alayón-Gamboa, J. A. and Gurri-García, F. D. 2007.  Home Garden Production and Energetic Sustainability in Calakmul, Campeche, Mexico. Human Ecology [pdf]
  20. Radel, C. and Schmook, B. 2008. Male Transnational Migration and its Linkages to Land -Use Change in a Southern Campeche Ejido. Journal of Latin American Geography 7(2): 59-83.
  21. Schmook B., and C. Radel. 2008. International Labor Migration from a Tropical Development Frontier:Globalizing Households and an Incipient Forest Transition The Southern Yucatán Case.  Human Ecology36 (6):891-908
  22. Schmook, B. and C. Vance. 2009. Agricultural Policy, Market Barriers, and Deforestations:  The Case of Mexico's Southern Yucatán. World Development 37 (5): forthcoming.
  23. Radel, C., and B. Schmook. Nd. Migration and Gender: The Case of a Farming Ejido in Calakmul, Mexico. Yearbook of the Association of Pacific Coast Geographers  (Forthcoming).



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